Market Commentary

Monthly Wrap Up
February saw the markets react to President Trump’s aggressive policy actions, introducing both uncertainty and disruption for investors. This has led to a decline in US Treasury bond yields, a weakened US dollar, and a pullback in major US stocks. The long-term economic impact remains uncertain, while the short-term highlights the challenges posed by the administration’s front-loaded policies, as well as a potential slowdown in the US economy. We remain focused on the medium to long-term view, however, and the secular trends driving investment opportunities. Read more in the February Wrap Up.

Quarterly Economic Forecasts
- 2024 has been a long year, filled with twists and turns over the interest rate outlook, the US election, and finally closing with some early signs that things are on the mend
- Wholesale interest rates started off the year on the way up, on speculation that the RBNZ would lift the OCR
- The RBNZ then reinforced in May that interest rates were unlikely to come down until well into 2025. Inflation pressures suddenly crumbled, and the RBNZ ended up cutting the OCR by 125bp before the end of 2024
Read more in our latest Quarterly Economic Forecasts report.
To read more from our ASB experts, visit Blog: Your Money and our Quarterly Economic Forecasts.
ASB Investment Podcast
Markets in 2025: Top Risks and Opportunities with Harbour Asset Management
Host Nigel Grant is joined by Chris Wilson (Co-CEO) and Chris Di Leva (Head of Multi Asset & Global Investments) from Harbour Asset Management to discuss their recent report on the key risks and opportunities they see shaping markets in 2025. They discuss macro-economic trends, geopolitical tensions, and the intersection of AI and climate. Plus, the inflation outlook and future of private market investment in New Zealand.
Financial Fitness with The Curve - The path to a stronger future
ASB’s Nigel Grant is joined by Victoria Harris (Co-Founder, The Curve) to break down financial fitness – what it means, why it matters and how to achieve it. They discuss tracking your spending, setting goals, and using financial wellbeing tools to build strong money habits. Plus, how investing plays a role in long-term financial success.
Will the RBNZ pump the brakes or hit the gas on 19th Feb?
In the first episode of 2025, host Nigel Grant is joined by podcast favourite Chris Tennent-Brown (Senior Economist, ASB) to discuss market performance in January and to give his thoughts as we look ahead to the year's first OCR announcement.
To hear more from the ASB Investment Podcast, listen and subscribe on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
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